Oil plunges 4% as Iran supply disruption concerns ease

– Demand outlook weakens
– Brent, WTI down over 4%
– Israeli PM Netanyahu says willing not to strike Iran oil targets
– OPEC, IAE cut global oil demand growth outlook

London — Oil prices tumbled more than 4% to a near two-week low on Tuesday due to a weaker demand outlook and after a media report suggested Israel would not strike Iranian oil targets, easing fears of a supply disruption.

Brent crude futures fell $3.29, or 4.3%, to $74.17 a barrel at 1312 GMT. West Texas Intermediate futures lost $3.38, or 4.6%, hitting $70.45 a barrel.

Both benchmarks had earlier fallen by $4, reaching their lowest since the beginning of October, after settling about 2% lower on Monday.

They are down about $5 so far this week, nearly wiping out cumulative gains made after investors became concerned Israel could strike Iran’s oil facilities in retaliation for the latter’s Oct. 1 missile attack.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the U.S. that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military targets and not nuclear or oil ones, the Washington Post reported late on Monday.

Israel expanded its targets in its war against Hezbollah militants in Lebanon on Monday, killing at least 21 people in an airstrike in the north.

“Weakening demand has led to traders withdrawing the ‘war premium’ from prices,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“However, geopolitics still continues to support oil at this level. Without geopolitics in the equation, oil would have tumbled even more, maybe even below $70 per barrel mark amid the current weakening demand narrative.”

Both the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and the International Energy Agency this week cut their forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2024, with China accounting for the bulk of the downgrades.

OPEC has projected a much stronger expansion of global demand for the year than the IEA. But its “run of lower adjustments is something of an admission of wishful thinking,” said John Evans at oil broker PVM.

China’s customs data showed that September oil imports fell from a year earlier, and the country’s economic growth is also likely to undershoot, opens new tab Beijing’s target for 2024, according to a Reuters poll.

*Paul Carsten, Sudarshan Varadhan & Emily Chow; editing: Louise Heavens & Christina Fincher – Reuters